Random Equity Curve Diagnostic

Three 20-trading-day curves generated from the selected s350 runtime-replay trade tapes. This is a fast sanity chart for path shape and fragility, not a new evaluator and not a deployment proof.
runtime starts
316
source pass <= 20d
301/316
deduped trades
362
daily pnl observations
117
$46,726 $50,421 $54,115 $57,810 $61,505 $65,199 Day 0 Day 5 Day 10 Day 15 Day 20 pass target $53,000 start $50,000 visual floor $48,000 Best $63,736 Median $63,450 Worst $59,380 3 randomly generated 20-trading-day equity curves Generated from runtime-replay trade tapes using 5-day block bootstrap, seed 20260429. Barrier lines are chart references, not a full evaluator.
Best
$63,736
pass target: Day 3
max drawdown: $401
min equity: $50,000
floor: No floor hit
Median
$63,450
pass target: Day 3
max drawdown: $528
min equity: $50,000
floor: No floor hit
Worst
$59,380
pass target: Day 14
max drawdown: $1,752
min equity: $49,830
floor: No floor hit

All Trials

Open the all-runtime-replay-trials chart.

Method

Source: config/policy_packs/packs/fastpass_rank003_scale5_pl1500_loss1000_scale25_v2_r1/operations/runtime_signal_parity/selected_s350_runtime_replay_20260428_trade_entries

Rows from all runtime_signal_trade_tape.filtered.tsv files were deduplicated by strategy, instrument, side, timestamps, prices, contracts, and PnL. Realized PnL was summed by exit date, then sampled in contiguous 5-trade-day blocks for a 20-day synthetic path. Seed: 20260429.

Start equity is $50,000. The $53,000 target and $48,000 floor are visual references only; this page does not implement the full Topstep/Apex account evaluator.

Curve Table

CurveFinal EquityPass Target DayMax DrawdownMin EquityFloor Hit
Best$63,736Day 3$401$50,000-
Median$63,450Day 3$528$50,000-
Worst$59,380Day 14$1,752$49,830-

Replay Context

Dense runtime-replay summary: 316 ok starts; outcomes {'passed': 302, 'incomplete': 14}; median pass days 10.0; pass <=10d 158; pass <=20d 301.

Raw repeated trade rows: 64,493. Deduped trade events used for this diagnostic: 362. Daily PnL distribution: min $-1,752, median $371, mean $747, max $5,114.

Download data: curves.csv and summary.json.